11/12/2025

The Power of Rebalancing & “Shannon’s Demon”
Mentioned by Bill Yount from the  Catching Up to FI  podcast,  Shannon’s Demon  illustrates how  periodic rebalancing  can turn volatility into profit. By selling high and buying low, you can  enhance long-term performance  while keeping risk in check.

Morningstar Ratings — Don’t Chase the Stars
Star ratings mostly reflect  recent trends, not future potential. Focus instead on the  underlying asset class  and decades of evidence, not last year’s winners.

Small-Cap Value Slump — Patience Pays Off
Small-cap value has struggled this year, but historically it offers one of the best long-term premiums. Remember:  asset class selection drives up to 99%  of overall portfolio performance.

Risk Parity Portfolios — Balancing Risk the Smart Way
Paul compared traditional diversification to  risk parity, which balances exposure across stocks, bonds, and commodities. He prefers  government bonds  over commodities since bonds generate income and often rise when stocks fall.

Diversifying Within an Asset Class
Instead of going “all or nothing,” you can hold multiple ETFs—like  AVUV  and  DFSV —for extra balance within a category. Just keep the lineup manageable for your brokerage or platform.

Factor Investing — What Really Drives Returns
The strongest long-term drivers are  size and value. Momentum and quality can help, but smaller, cheaper companies historically deliver the best rewards.

Growth Funds & Ten-Year Performance
Ten-year snapshots can mislead. From 2000 to 2025, small-cap value funds far outperformed growth and the S&P 500, showing the  value premium  remains powerful across full market cycles.

S&P 500 vs. Total Market — Nearly Identical Over Time
Since 1928, returns differ by only  0.1%. The S&P’s recent edge comes mainly from a handful of mega-cap tech stocks, not fundamental differences in the indexes.

Hiring an Advisor — When It’s Worth It
A skilled  fiduciary advisor  can help manage emotions, discipline, and rebalancing. If you struggle to stay consistent, professional guidance may be  worth far more than the fee.

The DIY Investor Myth — Overcoming Human Biases
“No one cares more about your money than you” sounds good, but  behavioral biases —recency, overconfidence, and loss aversion—can derail results. Automation or a trusted advisor can protect you. For more insight, see Paul Hayes’ free book  Spending Your Way to Wealth , especially the appendix on  48 investor biases.